REFINED METALS (Germany) Performance

CWA0 Stock   0.38  0.03  7.32%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, REFINED METALS holds a performance score of 6. The company holds a Beta of 0.2, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, REFINED METALS's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding REFINED METALS is expected to be smaller as well. Please check REFINED METALS's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to make a quick decision on whether REFINED METALS's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in REFINED METALS P are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, REFINED METALS reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:2
Last Split Date
2024-02-15
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REFINED METALS Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  32.00  in REFINED METALS P on December 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  6.00  from holding REFINED METALS P or generate 18.75% return on investment over 90 days. REFINED METALS P is generating 0.8912% of daily returns assuming 11.0353% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 99% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than REFINED METALS, and 83% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon REFINED METALS is expected to generate 14.57 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 14.57 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

REFINED METALS Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of REFINED Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.38 90 days 0.38 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of REFINED METALS to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This REFINED METALS P probability density function shows the probability of REFINED Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon REFINED METALS has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, REFINED METALS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding REFINED METALS P will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover REFINED METALS P has an alpha of 1.1289, implying that it can generate a 1.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   REFINED METALS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for REFINED METALS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REFINED METALS P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.4411.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.3711.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.4711.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.380.380.38
Details

REFINED METALS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. REFINED METALS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the REFINED METALS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold REFINED METALS P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of REFINED METALS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

REFINED METALS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of REFINED METALS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for REFINED METALS P can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
REFINED METALS P is way too risky over 90 days horizon
REFINED METALS P has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
REFINED METALS P appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
REFINED METALS P has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.57 K.
REFINED METALS generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold FCX Stock After a 47 percent Rally in 6 Months - TradingView

REFINED METALS Fundamentals Growth

REFINED Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of REFINED METALS, and REFINED METALS fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on REFINED Stock performance.

About REFINED METALS Performance

By analyzing REFINED METALS's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into REFINED METALS's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if REFINED METALS has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if REFINED METALS has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
REFINED METALS is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on F exchange.

Things to note about REFINED METALS P performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about REFINED METALS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for REFINED METALS P help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
REFINED METALS P is way too risky over 90 days horizon
REFINED METALS P has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
REFINED METALS P appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
REFINED METALS P has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.57 K.
REFINED METALS generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold FCX Stock After a 47 percent Rally in 6 Months - TradingView
Evaluating REFINED METALS's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate REFINED METALS's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing REFINED METALS's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether REFINED METALS's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining REFINED METALS's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating REFINED METALS's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of REFINED METALS's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of REFINED METALS's stock. These opinions can provide insight into REFINED METALS's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating REFINED METALS's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact REFINED METALS's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running REFINED METALS's price analysis, check to measure REFINED METALS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy REFINED METALS is operating at the current time. Most of REFINED METALS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of REFINED METALS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move REFINED METALS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of REFINED METALS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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